Last updated on 2013.07.14
Annette Bosworth makes official what I reported last night based on her cringeworthy July 5 announcement to Gordon Howie: unless someone can talk some sense into her and save her medical practice and non-profit charity from destruction, Bosworth will announce her candidacy for Senate on Tuesday, July 16, at high noon, on her parents' farm near Plankinton. Here's the official media advisory:
MEDIA ADVISORY
JULY 12, 2013BOSWORTH TO ANNOUNCE INTENTION TO ENTER SOUTH DAKOTA SENATE RACE
Dr. Annette Bosworth will announce her future intentions on June [sic] 16th at 12:00 p.m. (noon) on her mother and father's 5th generation farmstead in Plankinton, South Dakota.
WHAT: BOSWORTH ANNOUNCEMENT
WHERE: 25250 385th Avenue, Plankinton, 57368
WHEN: JULY 16, 2013 at 12:00 p.m. (noon)For media accommodations and credentials you can email media@bosworthforsenate.com or call at 605-838-8797.
Notice that domain name, BosworthforSenate.com, registered today via GoDaddy by Annette Bosworth. No website up yet, but if they know what they're doing, they're spending the weekend on their home computer (not a computer at the office!) punching up a website to launch at 12:01 CDT on Tuesday.
"The more the merrier," history is beginning to play a favorable card for
Weiland's candidacy. Whenever the Republicans in SD fight over the US Senate nomination with multiple candidates then the Democrat wins in the Fall. The brutal State Republican Convention back in 1962, which eventually came to a consensus with the Joe Bottum nomination and appointment upon Senator Case's death led to the fall victory of George McGovern. The 1972 five-way Republican primary race for the US Senate nomination led to the fall victory of James Abourezk as well.... They say things come in threes.....keep it up GOP.... We Dems will sit back and get some popcorn.....
Then again, the five-man GOP gubernatorial primary in 2010 appears to have done nothing to weaken Dennis Daugaard or improve turnout for Scott Heidelpriem. The three-way GOP House primary that same year didn't help Stephanie Herseth Sandlin stay in office.
The entry of Annette Bosworth does not help Rick Weiland. She will not raise enough money, resonate with enough voters, or run a sufficiently competent campaign to cause Mike Rounds to spend any additional money beyond what he's already budgeted for the primary. She will draw a Ken Knuppe margin-of-error vote—i.e., 4% who will mark Bosworth by accident, check her name simply because "Annette" sounds cute or "Bosworth" sounds cool, choose her because of ballot order, or make her their "anyone but Rounds" choice. She will thus take away points from any challenger who stands a chance of beating Rounds, thus increasing the chance that Weiland faces the nine-million-dollar gorilla rather than a less-moneyed candidate.
Waiting for Stace.
I am talking about open Senate races. Gubernatorial races are a whole different game. Democratic nominees for Governor have to over come the "income tax" stigma (which still exists) and abortion as well as the pro-business litmus test.
The three-way Republican primary in 2010 for the US House was a "love fest." Sandlin was a vulnerable Democratic incumbent running for re-election in a Republican state in the year of the Tea Party. The political dynamics I am talking about are exclusive to an open congressional race like the Senate race in 2014.
Rick is right, we need Stacie to seal the deal, however.
I agree: Neither Rhoden nor Bosworth seems likely to bring the heat on Rounds. Stace Nelson could... even if he runs for House. Put Stace anywhere on the statewide ballot, and he brings hordes of Mugwumps who will vote for him and then share their love with any candidates for other office who latch onto his anti-Establishment campaign.
I will cautiously agree with the contention that the gubernatorial race has a somewhat different dynamic from Senate races. I disagree with the dismissal of the 2010 House race as a valid analogy. The dynamic in 2014 is very much like 2010: Republicans may have a crowded field, but the Dems have even less heat to bring (I say that objectively: Weiland has a higher hill to climb than 2010 incumbent SHS). Whoever wins the GOP primary (and that will be Rounds or Nelson) will wake up June 4 as the favorite in the Senate race, and Weiland will still be the underdog (and being the underdog on June 4 is just fine).
The fact that the SD US House incumbent in 2010 was a Democrat makes any attempt to compare it to the 2014 Senate race, which has no incumbent running, an apple and orange comparison. The key is open races.
On an other note, the question that must be asked is "How does a Stacie Senate candidacy bring new voters to the polls and how many?" I call this the Jesse Ventura effect, where some candidates do to a cult of personality quality enlarge the voter base to a point where they can offset their primary opponent's popularity (Rounds) and the straggler votes to third and fourth place candidate? That is a reality which should encourage a Stacie candidacy and scare Wadhams..... But, if one views Stacie as the next "Janklow," then our hopes for a Stacie candidacy could actually be a two edge sword for those of us within the Democratic camp as well....
Lovely. Kristi Noem is bad enough. Now we have a woman running for Senate who does not know if the citizens of Custer, South Dakota are called Cus-turds or Cus-tards. It's on YouTube and it's appalling. Bosworth is South Dakota's answer to Michelle Bachmann and Sarah Palin.
Annette Bosworth is one of yours, not one of ours.
Um, no Bree. Bosworth is a bible-thumping Republican. I am fairly certain that makes her "not one of ours".
I'm not convinced that deep down Bosworth belongs to either party. She is thumping the Bible and spouting GOP talking points because she's being told that's how she can win an election. In that regard, SDB, she is somewhat like Bachmann and Palin; however, I get the impression that Bachmann and Palin are closer to true believers than Bosworth.
Bree, her rank opportunism, plus her too-close mingling of the operations of her non-profit and her political activities, would make it hard for me to support her candidacy even if she had declared as a Democrat.
I don't expect to see either DocBoz or Rhoden on the primary ballot. They're going to drop out because it's too expensive to run a vanity campaign, which is the most charitible description of their candidacies. The only game changer is Stace. I agree, Cory, that if he runs for the House or the Senate, the mugwumps have a reason to run to the polls. If Stace wants to really slap a deep burned brand on the ass of the state GOP as a House candidate, he should recruit a similarly angry but smart true conservative to run against the RINOs.
Now THAT would change the game and turn into a double pickup for the Tea Party base.
The question is who has credibility to make this team work for both positions?
Clarify: The second candidate would run for the Senate.
Cory, do you know Mr. Dr. Bosworth from your debate days? Also, one of your posters asked a while back bout his time in Utah. What is that about?
Rick, I hope for the sake of her patients that Dr. Bosworth realizes before January 1 that she can't campaign and maintain her independent medical practice.
Jim, Chad and I probably crossed paths on the debate circuit (we both graduated in 1989), but all I paid attention to in high school was girls. :-)
As for Utah, I don't know what Chad was doing there. But one convicted felon says a Chad Haber masterminded a Ponzi scheme.
""similarly angry but smart true conservative to run against the RINOs.""
Got any names Rick?