In somewhat more honest polling, Nielson Brothers release some issue data from their June poll of likely South Dakota voters and find South Dakotans willing to subject gun buyers to universal background checks but not willing to repeal their same-sex marriage ban:
Universal background checks on gun purchases:
- Support: 61.8%
- Oppose: 25.2%
- Undecided: 13.0%
Legalization of same-sex marriage:
- Support: 33.6%
- Oppose: 53.8%
- Undecided: 12.6%
On gun background checks, supporters outnumber opponents even among Republicans (44.8% for, 37.3% against). On same-sex marriage, Dems lead on equality, but not at jump-up-and-shout levels: only 48.6% of questioned Dems said they'd legalize same-sex marriage, not even a majority. 33.8% of Dems say no; 17.6% are still thinking about it. (Call me, uncertain Dems: I can straighten you out.)
But who cares. CNBC has named South Dakota the top state for business. You need to get your priorities straight.
but last for workers
Yep, we rank in the top 5 for offering low wage jobs! It is a good thing they decided to focus on the cost of business and not education or technology and innovation.
http://leftinsd.blogspot.com/2013/07/great-south-dakota-is-1-for-businesses.html
Didn't these guys have Heidepriem beating Daugaard by a mile in 2010? How have they changed their methodology since then? Why are they still in business?
No Rick. They showed Daugaard beating Heidepriem by a substantial margin (outside the margin of error) with 12% undecided. They also showed Noem beating Herseth by one/half a percent, very close to the final result. They have done very good polling and from what I have seen their results are usually right on, but not always since their methodology is based on the science of statistics and theory says you will be wrong once in a while (one out of every 20 times at a 95% confidence level). That is why they say it is the analysis of a number of different polls and their cumulative trends which is most important in drawing conclusions. To bad the Nielsons are the only firm in SD that regularly publishes its results rather than selectively leaking a number here and there as it serves their interest. Which leads me to the question, what is your motivation to go out of your way to spread an untruth about them anyway? Do your own polling and add some substance to the public discussion.
http://dakotapoll.com/low-marks-for-legislature-in-new-dakota-poll
I apologize to one and all.
You’re correct, Judy Judy, that their polling didn’t show Heidepriem ahead of Daugaard, which I thought was the case early in the campaign. Old age.
But – and I mean a BIG BUT – their poll Oct. 25 in the closing days of the 2010 election showed Heidepriem closing the gap dramatically, with only a two percent difference! Days later we learned the gap was actually 23 points. I think you’ll agree Judy Judy that this was less than stellar data.
http://www.kdlt.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=5778&Itemid=57
The states that have approved of marriage for all seem to be quite successful on several levels. In MN the Fortune 500 companies opposed the anti-gay marriage amendment last year in newspaper editorials, ads and financial contributions. They said marriage for all is good for business. Hmm.
Deb, I like how you can put two and two together. Tolerance is good for business.
Thanks Cory.
Does Nielson release these polls anywhere online?
Their website (http://www.nielsonbrotherspolling.com/index_press.htm) seems to need some updating --- or perhaps I have the wrong URL?
Sorry, Barbarian: Nielson seems to be choosy about posting polls online. I usually rely on their press releases and reports from other sources for the details.