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Russell Olson’s Chamber Goal: Increase Madison Sales 58%

According to the Madison Chamber of Commerce Janaury newsletter, Senator Russell Olson has joined the Chamber board. Olson says his goals while serving on the board are to increase membership and retention and to "have Madison's sales tax revenue grow to be in the top 10 in South Dakota per capita." The former is ambitious; the latter is ambitious and wonky! Let's run some numbers:

  1. Madison's population in 2009 was 6,605, 13th in the state.
  2. Madison's municipal tax due in 2009 was $2,454,096.80.
  3. Per capita, that's $371.55.
  4. Looking just at the 58 South Dakota towns with more than 1,000 people, Madison's municipal tax due per capita ranked 34th.

Now municipal tax due depends on local rates. Let's broaden the scope and look at total taxable sales, which if I were a Chamber dude is the number I'd really want to see increase:

  1. Again, Madison population: 6,605.
  2. In Fiscal Year 2010 (i.e., July 1, 2009, to June 30, 2010), Madison's total taxable sales were $125,078,116.30.
  3. Per capita, that's $18,936.88.
  4. Out of the 58 towns in the 1000-plus league, Madison's taxable sales per capita rank 35th.

Table 1 below lists the 58 largest towns in South Dakota in order of highest municipal tax revenue per capita. Table 2 lists the same towns in order of highest taxable sales per capita. There are some surprising differences.

Table 1: Calendar Year 2010 Municipal Taxes Due in 58 Largest South Dakota Towns:

City pop 2009 muni tax per capita percap rank
Deadwood 1,272 2629011.98 $2,066.83 1
Rapid City 67,107 45627736.44 $679.93 2
Custer 1,980 1343785.01 $678.68 3
North Sioux City 2,601 1724878.71 $663.16 4
Milbank 3,167 2073267.67 $654.65 5
Mitchell 14,747 9646572.54 $654.14 6
Spearfish 9,979 6420490.21 $643.40 7
Aberdeen 24,992 15630602.78 $625.42 8
Watertown 20,350 12244680.93 $601.70 9
Sioux Falls 158,008 90893837.79 $575.25 10
Yankton 13,866 7461406.36 $538.11 11
Chamberlain 2,292 1196763.74 $522.15 12
Brookings 20,184 10467127.11 $518.59 13
Huron 11,281 5688115.45 $504.22 14
Winner 2,671 1339995.21 $501.68 15
Miller 1,323 640031.94 $483.77 16
Gregory 1,158 549234.96 $474.30 17
Pierre 14,072 6650951.66 $472.64 18
Freeman 1,177 553121.44 $469.94 19
Britton 1,218 571810.03 $469.47 20
Mobridge 3,142 1466394.12 $466.71 21
Fort Pierre 2,103 978535.07 $465.30 22
Platte 1,296 599144.9 $462.30 23
Sturgis 5,981 2757902.67 $461.11 24
Clear Lake 1,192 524218.73 $439.78 25
Lemmon 1,169 512020.64 $438.00 26
Webster 1,661 725787.57 $436.96 27
Wagner 1,506 615319.89 $408.58 28
Gettysburg 1,020 414620.09 $406.49 29
De Smet 1,074 429895.61 $400.28 30
Sisseton 2,454 974809.21 $397.23 31
Belle Fourche 4,985 1921186.82 $385.39 32
Garretson 1,113 417253.19 $374.89 33
Madison 6,605 2454096.8 $371.55 34
Redfield 2,232 821853.6 $368.21 35
Hot Springs 4,093 1441533.31 $352.19 36
Groton 1,416 492524.54 $347.83 37
Clark 1,044 326287.72 $312.54 38
Salem 1,306 396096.99 $303.29 39
Vermillion 10,417 3146379.98 $302.04 40
Beresford 2,279 661599.15 $290.30 41
Mission 1,207 346735.33 $287.27 42
Parkston 1,458 402105.75 $275.79 43
Brandon 8,106 2014025.49 $248.46 44
Dell Rapids 3,176 759800.81 $239.23 45
Flandreau 2,201 522409.84 $237.35 46
Lead 2,848 668755.56 $234.82 47
Elk Point 1,997 443312.57 $221.99 48
Hartford 2,277 496563.55 $218.08 49
Tyndall 1,082 234700.55 $216.91 50
Box Elder 4,271 827649.73 $193.78 51
Tea 4,623 803646.34 $173.84 52
Canton 4,269 740604.63 $173.48 53
Lennox 2,842 393735.82 $138.54 54
Harrisburg 5,410 641728.46 $118.62 55
Springfield 1,474 171008.74 $116.02 56
Crooks 1,118 119378.33 $106.78 57
Volga 1,606 136419.73 $84.94 58

Table 2: FY2010 Taxable Sales in 58 Largest South Dakota Towns:

FY2010 Taxable Sales per capita percap rank
Deadwood $78,203,329.40 $61,480.60 1
Custer $87,471,212.80 $44,177.38 2
Britton $43,288,883.60 $35,540.96 3
Platte $44,567,991.60 $34,388.88 4
Mitchell $481,216,799.30 $32,631.50 5
Freeman $38,136,252.90 $32,401.23 6
Rapid City $2,129,060,187.30 $31,726.35 7
Milbank $99,932,805.50 $31,554.41 8
Miller $40,600,906.80 $30,688.52 9
Winner $79,459,434.60 $29,748.95 10
Watertown $603,253,275.40 $29,643.90 11
Clear Lake $34,894,669.90 $29,274.05 12
Aberdeen $727,044,640.40 $29,091.09 13
Redfield $61,508,526.20 $27,557.58 14
Spearfish $269,437,016.80 $27,000.40 15
Chamberlain $61,378,609.00 $26,779.50 16
Gregory $30,982,047.10 $26,754.79 17
Wagner $40,147,283.90 $26,658.22 18
Webster $43,035,636.20 $25,909.47 19
Mission $30,623,170.80 $25,371.31 20
Fort Pierre $52,566,656.10 $24,996.03 21
Sioux Falls $3,797,978,184.70 $24,036.62 22
Mobridge $74,913,572.20 $23,842.64 23
Yankton $328,538,744.00 $23,693.84 24
Brookings $472,946,737.20 $23,431.76 25
Gettysburg $23,620,670.30 $23,157.52 26
Garretson $25,668,859.67 $23,062.77 27
Clark $23,758,838.70 $22,757.51 28
Huron $250,967,720.10 $22,246.94 29
Pierre $306,604,053.72 $21,788.24 30
Sturgis $123,546,696.50 $20,656.53 31
North Sioux City $52,772,289.10 $20,289.23 32
Parkston $28,761,813.60 $19,726.90 33
Lemmon $23,034,642.50 $19,704.57 34
Madison $125,078,116.30 $18,936.88 35
Salem $24,533,220.60 $18,785.01 36
Groton $26,577,743.80 $18,769.59 37
De Smet $20,131,273.00 $18,744.20 38
Beresford $42,518,611.20 $18,656.70 39
Belle Fourche $86,235,529.10 $17,299.00 40
Sisseton $40,832,640.10 $16,639.22 41
Hot Springs $53,779,630.95 $13,139.42 42
Lead $35,668,044.30 $12,523.89 43
Vermillion $128,900,311.70 $12,374.03 44
Brandon $88,878,382.40 $10,964.52 45
Tea $50,489,404.60 $10,921.35 46
Flandreau $23,486,890.70 $10,671.01 47
Dell Rapids $31,481,213.40 $9,912.22 48
Volga $15,319,284.80 $9,538.78 49
Hartford $21,379,118.50 $9,389.16 50
Tyndall $9,976,029.20 $9,219.99 51
Canton $37,814,064.00 $8,857.83 52
Elk Point $16,503,087.70 $8,263.94 53
Lennox $22,776,495.61 $8,014.25 54
Springfield $8,101,748.40 $5,496.44 55
Crooks $5,687,121.60 $5,086.87 56
Harrisburg $25,212,391.21 $4,660.33 57
Box Elder $18,351,521.80 $4,296.77 58

For the remainder of this discussion, let's look just at the taxable sales. To meet Olson's Chamber goal (and I think it's a heck of a goal) of reaching the top ten for per capita taxable sales, everybody in Madison would have to buy 58% more stuff in Madison---$11,000 more. Or we'd have to get a whole lot more visitors to come spend money here the way tax-per-capita leaders Deadwood, Rapid City, and Custer do.

The numbers above show that Sioux Falls is our key taxable sales nemesis. The only towns in the top half of this list that are within an hour's drive of the Empire Mall are Brookings, Freeman, and Garretson (I'll bet Palisades State Park helps their numbers). Salem and Beresford are close in rank to Madison. Nine of the bottom fifteen towns in this survey, like quasi-suburbs Brandon, Tea, Lennox, Hartford, and Harrisburg, get sales-tax hammered by their proximity to Sioux Falls shopping. In general, that one-hour range to Sioux Falls is like the event horizon of a big retail black hole: inside it, everything falls to the shopping center.

Now part of Madison's challenge is to compete with five surrounding cities that outrank us in taxable sales per capita:

Madison SD Economic Competition Circle
50-mile radii from Madison (blue) and Sioux Falls, Brookings, Watertown, Huron, and Mitchell (green), Make your own cool radius map at FreeMapTools.com!

Even with destinations like Prairie Village, Lake Herman, and Lake Madison, we compete in every direction with other commercial centers that offer at least a little more to buy and do for not much more driving.

So how do we help Olson and the Chamber meet that goal? The easiest way might be to get everyone in Madison to move out to Wentworth with Russ. Then Madison's official population would drop and per capita sales figures would jump.

But to make a real difference, we need to attract more core retail competition. Prime targets:

  1. Hy-Vee? In Madison, food stores make up an eighth of taxable sales. Bring Hy-Vee in, and Jubi-Shine will respond by stocking more selection and competing on price and service. Madison shoppers will see less need to stock up in Brookings and Sioux Falls, and folks will come here knowing they can shop around in one town for deals.
  2. Walmart? Readers have discussed this retail nuclear option as a way to draw more shoppers here. A quick CORREL check on my spreadsheet shows a slightly positive correlation between Walmart presence and per-capita taxable sales. But there are a number of towns at the top of the taxable sales per capita list (Britton?!) doing good business without Walmart. Besides, the retail giant already has stores in South Dakota's eleven largest towns. Is Walmart interested into expanding to Madison, which ranks 13th by population?
  3. More outdoor recreation? I'd like to take Mike Knutson's advice and extend the bike trails. Build the Madison Central Greenway. Get the ball rolling on expanding the new Lake Madison public access area into Semiquincentennial Park. But looking at places like Platte, Miller, and Winner in the top ten makes me wonder if we just need to hatch more pheasants and expand the airport for hunters.
  4. Find that signature event? The Chamber and LAIC are banking on Motongator Joe, but I still wonder if hillbilly, testosterone, and outlaw are really the best branding for a community trying to broaden its market. Hmm... now that there's a Bug in my driveway, I might have to update that Beetle Days plan. But how well does the signature-event strategy work? Sturgis has the archetype of signature events, the Sturgis Rally. Sturgis has 9% less population but 15% better per-capita taxable sales. But Madison still generates 1% more taxable sales with its nice, steady year-round business cycle.

More suggestions to help Russ and the Chamber meet their sales-tax goal are welcome in the comment section here and at the Chamber!

10 Comments

  1. nonnie 2011.01.23

    I think Prairie Village is an untapped jewel to attract people to Madison. It has expanded activities in the last couple of years, but I think it could bring in even more. How about holding some kind of plays there in the summer - could be outdoors like the Laura Ingalls Wilder pageant in DeSmet. How about an annual Chatauqua meeting? How about an old time gospel sing on the grounds in front of the church overlooking the lake? It seems that the city of Madison doesn't have much interest in Prairie Village; at least that's what I've heard in the past. If so, they are shooting themselves in the foot. Camping has expanded. Maybe add some campfire programs of song and stories and a hayride during certain weekends during the summer? Do something special for the Fourth of July to coincide with our fireworks. And advertise, advertise, advertise all these things.

  2. Mark O'Loughlen 2011.01.23

    Nonnie is right about Praire Village. Another resource down the road that isn't fully tapped is the state park. A few businesses between Madison and the entrance to the park, a bike shop, outdoor store, fishing and hunting gear would probably go over well.

    Look at all the businesses near entrances to national parks and all the business they do. Gas stations, hotels, restaurants, tourist traps, are all doing well, even in the stumbling economy.

  3. matthew siedschlaw 2011.01.24

    So, what Russ Olson is telling me is that his plan will be to annex Prairie Village into the City of Madison so that they can get tax revenue off the Jamboree and other events that are held there yearly. I would call that backdoor tax increase but I am sure Russ and the other Elephants would have another name for it.

  4. caheidelberger Post author | 2011.01.24

    Now, Matt, I haven't heard Russ say anything of the sort... although the idea did cross my mind! But Prairie Village's status as a separate municipality might make annexation really hard. Maybe we should go the other way and have Prairie Village annex Madison!

  5. nonnie 2011.01.24

    Annex Prairie Village??? Nobody said anything about that Simply promote it, and the businesses and people of Madison reap the economic benefits.

    And as for building a convenience store catering to campers etc near the entrance to the state, there was property right across from the park entrance building. This would be the ideal spot for such a business, on the corner, plenty of room. Has anyone from the city or county looked into it? Maybe this would be a candidate for the TIF or some such funds? It would attract business from campers at both Prairie Village and the state park and just from people visiting the park, boating, fishing, etc.

  6. nonnie 2011.01.24

    sorry, "property for SALE right across from the park entrance..."

  7. Wayne Booze 2011.01.24

    Some of those towns with decent per capita tax spending (Britton, Platte, Freeman) are a good drive away from the "major" communities in SD, so their geographic isolation may play a large factor.

    Perhaps a strategy for Madison would be to (tongue and cheek are one here) create outbound toll booths for Hwy 19, 81, and 34. ...Actually, now that I think about it, maybe a conversation about road usage fees (in gas taxes or actual road usage) may be warranted.

    What's Madison's 10-15 year strategic plan look like?

  8. caheidelberger Post author | 2011.01.24

    If anyone is looking at that corner property at the park entrance, they haven't jumped on it. I agree: that spot would be ideal for a little bike/boat rental shop and the other businesses Mark mentioned... maybe even a burger shack? (Mark! Bring your restaurant expertise back to Lake County! :-) )

  9. caheidelberger Post author | 2011.01.24

    Wayne, I'm inclined to agree that some of the smaller towns at the top of the list appear to benefit from being hubs to otherwise "isolated" regions. But for places that are more connected, I hear protectionism doesn't work.

    10-15 year strategic plan? Good question. There is a comprehensive plan for city zoning... I'm trying to remember what kind of economic development plan might be out there. Dwaine? Julie? care to submit a link?

  10. Mark O'Loughlen 2011.01.24

    If I'd do anything in Madison, it would be a hotel. But the property taxes in South Dakota scare me. They tend to be used by local groups to pay for their little pet projects.

Comments are closed.