A certain member of my household needed to reload on Bob the Builder and frog DVDs, so I missed tonight's GOP presidential candidates' pageant.

I thus missed the end of the Rick Perry campaign:

Rick Perry: I will tell you, it is three agencies of government when I get there that are gone. Commerce, Education, and the -- What's the third one there? Let's see....

I have had freshmen who did not study bluff their way through oral quizzes better than Perry just did.

The Iowa caucus is 55 days away. My new Iowa prediction (new? this might be my first):

  • Romney: 44%
  • Paul: 16%
  • Gingrich: 10%
  • Bachmann: 10%
  • Hunstman: 6%
  • Cain: 5%
  • Santorum: 5%
  • Perry: 4%